Summary
Draft for Ken's approval
The schematic of the core structure and the Strategy Dynamics model from Chapter 5 now take in the project's finances. The model calculates once off aid project costs. It also calculates recurring operations and maintenance costs, which in-country budgets must meet after aid ends. Government revenue from the Land Registry is calculated before, during and for ten years after the improvements, with and without the project. Change one part of the model, such as how long technical assistance lasts, and project costs change at once.
Financial benefits alone do not cover the project costs. But there are important non-financial benefits. These include a more efficient registry, faster service and more public confidence. Titleholders who now use the informal land market might come back, and the land market might grow.
The evaluation finds the project might well be attractive if the aid is a grant rather than a loan. It would be treated as Stage 1 of a larger project, on condition that the backlog stays low.
Key points
- A financials and evaluation sector was added to the schematic and the model, covering once off costs, recurring operations and maintenance costs, and revenue.
- Any change in one part of the model, such as how long technical assistance lasts, at once changes every related part, such as project costs.
- Financial benefits alone did not cover the costs, but the project brought non-financial benefits such as faster service and more public confidence.
- The project might well appeal to host and donor countries as a grant, treated as Stage 1 of a larger improvement project.
- What matters is not the numbers but the Strategy Dynamics method: quantitative, transparent, with no hidden assumptions, and usable early in design.